In a speech, Ofgem chief executive Alistair Buchanan will say that falls in Britain's power production capacity are likely to lead to more energy imports and customers paying more.
The energy watchdog predicts power station closures could mean a 10% fall in capacity by April alone.
Mr Buchanan has said the UK needs more gas supplies to fill the shortfall.
His warning comes as older power stations close and renewable energy is still growing.
Mr Buchanan added that it was very important to resolve "leaky homes" and become more energy efficient in order to avoid the approaching "near crisis".
He is stepping down as Ofgem chief executive later this year.
Analysts said there was little chance of the UK running out of gas.
"We must not fear," said Ashton Berkhauer, the deputy chair of Energy Forecaster, which gives companies advice on their energy bills.
"The UK is very well connected. We have a number of different inter-connectors based all around the country as well as huge import facilities."
However, he added that both consumers and businesses "need to make sure they are not using more than they need to".
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